Trump Policy In Mexico or Central America Will Backfire
From my reply to an email dated November 18, 2016: "I think Trump's plans for Mexico, building a wall, keeping out the criminal element on the southern border and controlling migration from Latin America is going to run into some kind of trouble ... this year anyway. Something will happen regarding this that will be very unpopular and a blemish on his presidency for 2017."
I will add to this that since the recent death of Fidel Castro (who I thought was already dead), it is possible Cuba may emerge once again as a trouble spot, although I really cannot think why that should happen. If it does, Trump will blunder there as Kennedy did in 1961.
This prediction can be verified by visiting this page on my main site: 2017 (Part One).
October 25 at 10:46 PM Fixated on the migrant caravan moving north through Mexico, President Trump is weighing a plan to shut the U.S. border to Central Americans and deny them the opportunity to seek asylum, asserting similar emergency powers used during the early 2017 "travel ban," according to administration officials and people familiar with the proposal.
(CBSNEWS) - Defense Secretary Jim Mattis is preparing an order that would send approximately 800 U.S. troops to the border, CBS News' David Martin has confirmed, as President Trump's frustration builds over the caravan of migrants approaching the U.S.
2 years and 2 months??
Yes, and here's a good example of what I mean: The 2017 Las Vegas shooting by gunman Stephen Paddock on October 1, 2017 was compared many times in the media to the University of Texas tower shooting by Charles Whitman on August 1, 1966. I had used the Whitman case as the precedent for a similar event happening again in August 2015 of a high altitude marksman shooting an even larger number of people on the ground than in Texas. I also said that the event would bring Charles Whitman's crime into remembrance.
But that event seemingly failed to happen ... until October 1, 2017. Total elapsed time after the August 2015 vector was exactly two years and two months. Note also that both events occurred on 1st of the month.
There have been other cases similar to this in recent years, especially since 2011.
This event, trouble brewing along the US-Mexico border, was based on the disastrous Kennedy "Bay Of Pigs" of April 1961 (thus April 2017). As you can see it has taken 18 months for a potential "repeat" of a somewhat different kind of invasion happening on the US border with Mexico rather than a botched invasion of Cuba by US-supported former Cuban nationals. This time the support of what will likely be a badly botched invasion via Mexico is not that of the President but from radical leftist elements in the US. But no doubt Trump will be made to take the blame when all out war breaks out on the southern border.
It need not get that bad. We are still at what I would call a crisis stage, but not yet the kind that could get very bloody. The situation can still be changed.