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Israel and Syria move closer to war - September 13, 2016.
Israel strikes in Syria after mortar shell hits Golan -- Military targets Assad’s artillery in response to impact in Jewish state’s territory, hours after Syrian ceasefire comes into effect - September 13, 2016.
IDF: Syrian claim to have shot down Israeli warplane, drone is "total lies" - September 13, 2016.
This is why I think it best to make this blog more like a diary or log of observations rather than a collection of large articles!
I may also have to start expanding this blog into becoming a website and introduce predictions pages. Some of the pages on the main site are difficult for some browsers to load.
In any event, to continue with the blog post I was to make several days ago:
Thus far, the similarity between Bosnia and Syria has been inexact due to the numerous violations of the ceasefire agreed in February 2016. The ceasefire in Bosnia, once established, held, although restive populations in nearby Kosovo were not happy with the situation in Yugoslavia. Milosevic remained in power, much to the anger of many Serbs, and Montenegro, Kosovo, and Macedonia still sought independence. The lull of peace that followed the Bosnian ceasefire of 1995 ended with the flash of bombs and gunfire in February 1998 when Kosovo erupted in civil war. By March 1999, NATO was carrying out the most catastrophic air campaigns in modern European cities since the bombing of Dresden in World War II.
There has been very little in the way of a real peace since the February Syrian ceasefire was declared. It is too early to tell if the one begun yesterday Monday will hold either. Turkish troops, jets, and tanks have renewed the conflict in Syria by all appearances. Yet it could end up being a lower level of fighting compared to the large scale Russian and US air bombing that prompted the ceasefire. Whatever happens there, I doubt any real peace will ensue like what did take place in Bosnia. But whether this proposed ceasefire holds or not, these warring groups, with roots not only in Turkey but also in Iraq, Jordan and Lebanon, may well be the future wave to come. The conflicts now occurring may be a preview of the Syrian version of the Kosovo War of 1998-99. From a base 7 perspective, that would fall squarely in 2019 and 2020. But because this is the Middle East, as with the Persian Gulf War of 1990-91, the provocation could come as early as August 2018 ... 28 (4 x 7) years after Iraq invaded Kuwait in August 1990. In that case the whole "Kosovo in the Middle East" parallel gets rolled back to 2018-19 rather than 2019-20, with 2019 being a truly horrendous conflict that likely proceeds to World War III. That certainly will be the case if it all goes to pieces in October 2018, on the base 7 anniversary of the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962.